Best Picture –Spotlight
Between the story line, superb acting, and the the fact that it’s a true story, Spotlight is prime Oscar material. The only real competition for Spotlight, in my opinion, is The Revenant, which may give the former a run for its money. While the Revenant had great cinematography, directing, acting, costumes, etc…, Spotlight will win the Oscar for being greater than the sum of its parts.
Best Actor in a Leading Role – Leonardo DiCaprio
This prediction has nothing to do with the fact that Leo is the love of my life. Honestly. Leonardo DiCaprio just killed his role in The Revenant. And compared to Eddie Redmayne, Bryan Cranston, and Michael Fassbender, this role is almost his for the taking. The close runner-up, however, will definitely be Matt Damon in The Martian. We’ll have to see whether the Academy wants a more intense or a more relatable performance.
Best Actress in a Leading Role –Brie Larson
Admittedly, this is more of a strong, strong wish than a prediction. Brie Larson’s portrayal of Joy Newsome in Room was one of the most breathtaking, powerful, and forget-its-a-movie performances I’ve ever seen. I don’t even feel there is a suitable runner-up for this category. I still think about her performance and get chills.
Best Director– Alejandro Inarritu
Alejandro G. Inarritu won last year for Birdman, and looks to be a favorite of the Academy this year for his directing in The Revenant. To throw in my two cents, I think Lenny Abrahamson deserves the Oscar for Room. He managed to create a world entirely through a child’s eyes, while still allowing the audience to understand the horror of the situation.
Best Actor in a Supporting Role –Mark Rylance
This category is a bit of a crowded field. Every character excelled at their parts, but nobody made a strong enough impression to declare a unanimous winner. Mark Rylance’s character in Bridge of Spies is a Russian prisoner of war, trying to leave America and go home. I’ve only ever seen Mark Rylance in House of Cards, and this character was such a foil, I forgot it was the same actor. But, the Oscar is still anybody’s game at this point.
Best Actress in a Supporting Role– Alicia Vikander
A favorite of almost all film critics’, Alicia Vikander’s role in The Danish Girl was an unusual part, and she played the emotional parts very well. I personally don’t have any allegiance to any of these actresses performances, but I think the Academy will choose Vikander over the others.
These two authors of Spotlight have received numerous awards throughout the season and managed to capture the urgency and truth of the Boston Globe investigation.
Best Adapted Screenplay– Drew Goddard
This adaptation of The Martian was really well done and has received universal acclaim. This is Goddard’s first Academy nomination, and I think he has it in the bag.